Showing posts with label gamble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gamble. Show all posts

Apr 13, 2010

Pension Fund Gambling

The essence of a DB pension fund's risk strategy can be captured in a single graph:

Key issue is that the portfolio duration of a DB-plan's Liabilities varies between 12 and 14 years, whereas the duration of the DB plan’s Assets is generally much shorter, 4.5 to 5 years (Moore 2007).

Secondly, 2008, 2009 and 2010 have proven that investment statistics and models have failed. Sustainable models are nearby dead.

All this implies that, despite all (developed) models, risk strategies, derivatives and experts, ultimately, a Pension Board has to take a decision without a reasonable amount of certainty. In other words they have to gamble.... And to brighten up your day, it's your responsibility as an actuary to advice this pension board!

Read more about this fundamental pension challenge in:

Legal and Investing Implications of LDI Safeguards for Pension Risk

-Public Pension Funds Gamble With Risky Investments
-The Prudent Man Standard